Tag: Econbrowser

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U.S. financial development continues | Econbrowser

The Bureau of Financial Evaluation introduced right now that seasonally adjusted U.S. actual GDP grew at a 2.3% annual fee within the fourth quarter....

Instantaneous Inflation | Econbrowser

Headline up, core down.   Determine 1: Instantaneous inflation per Eeckhout (2023) for CPI (blue) chained CPI (lilac), PCE deflator (inexperienced), PCE deflator market costs (brown),...

The President-Elect’s Financial Advisers | Econbrowser

From Rappaport, Swanson, Duehren, in NYT yesterday, an apparently monochromatic image of the incoming economics workforce. Notes: Clockwise from prime left: Bessent (to Treasury;...

Employment in December | Econbrowser

Opposite to expectations, nonfarm payroll employment surprises +256K vs. +164K Bloomberg consensus. The usual deviation of modifications is 85K, with imply +186 (over 2024),...

Dangers, 2025 | Econbrowser

Prime of my checklist: Supply: Kalshi, accessed 1/3/2025. Would this be dangerous information? Properly, sure. However worse but given the incoming administration. For proof, I've however...

A Manufacturing Recession? | Econbrowser

As soon as once more, Heritage’s EJ Antoni speaks (on Fox) a few manufacturing recession, specializing in employment. I’ll simply level out that, in...