by Calculated Danger on 12/12/2024 01:05:00 PM
Right now, within the Calculated Danger Actual Property E-newsletter: The “Home ATM” Principally Closed in Q3
A quick excerpt:
Throughout the housing bubble, many owners borrowed closely in opposition to their perceived residence fairness – jokingly calling it the “Home ATM” – and this contributed to the next housing bust, since so many owners had unfavorable fairness of their properties when home costs declined.
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Right here is the quarterly improve in mortgage debt from the Federal Reserve’s Monetary Accounts of the USA – Z.1 (typically known as the Circulation of Funds report) launched immediately. Within the mid ‘00s, there was a large increase in mortgage debt associated with the housing bubble.In Q3 2024, mortgage debt increased $105 billion, up from $99 billion in Q2, and down from the cycle peak of $467 billion in Q2 2021. Note the almost 7 years of declining mortgage debt as distressed sales (foreclosures and short sales) wiped out a significant amount of debt.
However, some of this debt is being used to increase the housing stock (purchase new homes), so this isn’t all Mortgage Fairness Withdrawal (MEW).