Tag: Recession
EJ Antoni/Heritage Basis (Aug 5): “I would not be surprised if a recession is backdated to July or the current month”
From FoxNews. Right here’s an image of indicators adopted by the NBER’s BCDC over the previous yr. Word that August numbers are largely up.
Determine...
In Actual Time, Does a Downturn in Family Survey Employment Higher Presage a Recession than One within the Institution Survey?
Right here’s the present state of affairs:
Determine 1: Civilian employment over age 16 (blue, left log scale), nonfarm payroll employment (tan, proper log scale),...
what we imply by ‘recession’ issues
Good morning, it’s Jenn Hughes right here filling in for Rob. Shares aren’t certain what steadiness to strike between higher jobs information thus far...
Manufacturing in Recession? (Revisited) | Econbrowser
Excessive frequency indicators (PMI, and so forth.) counsel — and have steered — a slowdown in manufacturing. Nonetheless, different indicators point out sideways trending....
China on the Fringe of Recession
China is on the sting of recession — excluding Covid, for the primary time since 2008 — as new knowledge confirmed all-important manufacturing contracted...
In-Pattern and Out-of-Pattern Recession Chances
No obvious recession as of August 2024 knowledge (my interpretation – see the opposing views right here). Utilizing year-ago monetary knowledge, what would have...
