Tag: Preliminary
Calculated Danger: Preliminary 2025 Housing Forecasts
by Calculated Danger on 11/22/2024 10:18:00 AM
As we speak, within the CalculatedRisk Actual Property Publication: Preliminary 2025 Housing ForecastsExcerpt: In direction of the tip...
A Puzzle: Personal NFP and the Preliminary Benchmark vs. Present Official [updated]
The puzzle stays: regardless of an under-consensus 99K addition to personal ADP-Stanford NFP (far beneath consensus 144K). ADP cumulative change above CES cumulative change,...
Extra on the Preliminary Benchmark in Context
Recall the preliminary benchmark deducted 818K from the March NFP studying.
Determine 1:Â Degree of nonfarm payroll employment from CES (blue), implied from CES preliminary benchmark...
A Puzzle: Non-public NFP and the Preliminary Benchmark vs. Present Official
The ADP survey cumulative improve in non-public NFP since 2023M03 is 3.1mn, extra than the two.8mn reported within the present official CES collection.
In distinction,...
The Preliminary Benchmark Revision in Context
818 downward revision in March 2024 NFP.
Determine 1: Stage of nonfarm payroll employment from CES (blue), implied from CES preliminary benchmark (crimson), from Philadelphia...
Guesses on the Preliminary Benchmark Revision to Nonfarm Payroll Employment
From Saraiva/Bloomberg:
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. economists count on the federal government’s preliminary benchmark revisions on Wednesday to point out...
