Tag: NFP
Non-public NFP Nowcast | Econbrowser
Based mostly on ADP-Stanford Digital Financial system Lab sequence for October.
Determine 1: Non-public nonfarm payroll employment (daring black), nowcast based mostly on error correction...
Enterprise Cycle Indicators – GDP and Personal NFP
GDP beneath Bloomberg consensus of three.0% at 2.8% (GDPNow nails it). ADP personal NFP change at 233K vs. Bloomberg consensus at 110K.
Determine 1: Nonfarm...
NFP Blowout | Econbrowser
Personal nonfarm payroll employment surprises on the upside (massive time): 223K vs 125K consensus (whole NFP 254K vs. 147K consensus). Furthermore, the earlier two...
Nowcasting Non-public NFP utilizing ADP Information
My guess for personal NFP:
Determine 1: Non-public NFP (daring black), nowcast (blue), +/- 1 std error band (grey), Bloomberg consensus (crimson +). Supply: BLS,...
A Puzzle: Personal NFP and the Preliminary Benchmark vs. Present Official [updated]
The puzzle stays: regardless of an under-consensus 99K addition to personal ADP-Stanford NFP (far beneath consensus 144K). ADP cumulative change above CES cumulative change,...
Totally different Counts of NFP Good points
All present beneficial properties since January 2023, save the CPS primarily based.
Determine 1: Cumulative change in NFP employment based on CES (daring black), implied...
