Tag: Indicators
State of the Macro Economic system, 10/6/2024: 19 Indicators and 4 Nowcasts
NBER BCDC indicators, various indicators, weekly indicators, nowcasts. As one who famous the excessive chance of recession by August 2024, I can’t see a...
Enterprise Cycle Indicators – with September Employment
The restoration continues, with a recession exhausting to see (even incorporating the preliminary benchmark revision with out caveat). A snapshot of indicators adopted by...
Enterprise Cycle Indicators – August Month-to-month GDP
Right here’s a snapshot of key indicators adopted by the NBER’s Enterprise Cycle Relationship Committee, together with SPGMI’s month-to-month GDP.
Determine 1:Â Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) employment...
Enterprise Cycle Indicators – August 2024 and Annual Updates
Nonetheless laborious to see the recession in (preliminary) August 2024 information.
Determine 1: Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) employment from CES (blue), implied NFP from preliminary benchmark...
Enterprise Cycle Indicators for August – NBER BCDC and Others
With the commercial manufacturing launch at this time (+0.8% vs. +0.2% m/m consensus), we've the next image of key collection adopted by the NBER’s...
Enterprise Cycle Indicators and the Employment Launch
Employment progress is slowing. Even taking the preliminary benchmark at face worth, we’re not in recession as of mid-August (when the survey is taken).
Determine...
