Based mostly on ADP-Stanford Digital Financial system Lab sequence for October.
Determine 1: Non-public nonfarm payroll employment (daring black), nowcast based mostly on error correction...
A reminder. Financial indicators, extra fatalities.
Determine 1: EDB of PR Financial Exercise Index (black, left scale), nonfarm payroll employment, (blue, proper scale), civilian employment...
Reader Moonmac argues the case that we're in a recession, in a rejoinder my paper “Recession since 2022? A Critique“:
McService Job Nation disagrees regardless...
Joe Biden is dethroning King Greenback in actual time. The US greenback’s monetary dominance is below siege from a uniquely dangerous mixture of international...
Has the Fed misplaced credibility, as some individuals have argued (e.g., EJ Antoni)?
One technique to assess credibility is to see whether or not individuals’s...