Our soccer betting skilled Jones Is aware of is again to supply his perception and finest angles on each sport because the Premier League returns.
Manchester United vs Fulham, Friday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities
A fast reminder: Manchester United aren’t excellent.
Together with final season being their lowest-ever Premier League end, in addition they completed up with a detrimental aim distinction for the primary time. They conceded 58 league objectives, their worst season defensively for 45 years and confronted the second most pictures of any group (667) – solely relegated Sheffield Utd (678) confronted extra.
A change of supervisor will deliver new hope although. Wait – checks notes – Erik ten Hag remains to be Manchester United supervisor? What is that this sorcery?
Anyway, the 4/7 with Sky Wager on a United dwelling win is like driving on an icy evening. Simply swerved.
You might be forgiven for being unaware that Adama Traore performs for Fulham – he performed simply 364 minutes final season.
However the foul-winning machine has seemed match and firing in pre-season, enjoying 89 minutes of Fulham’s win over Hoffenheim and may very well be ripe for some Marco Silva like to get his profession again on monitor.
This can be a participant that within the 4 seasons between 2019-2023 managed to get a participant carded each 132 minutes of soccer from a 7,797-minute pattern dimension with the backdrop of a 2.8 fouls gained ratio per 90 minutes. Ridiculous numbers.
With United’s issues at left-back, Traore may very well be lining up in opposition to Lisandro Martinez, who is not going to carry again if tasked with stopping him. This makes his 4/1 quotes with Sky Wager about receiving a card very tempting certainly.
Martinez has averaged a card each 0.29 video games within the Premier League since signing for United so these odds undervalue the true chance of one other, particularly if Traore begins up in opposition to him.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Ipswich vs Liverpool, Saturday 12.30pm
Two managers with very completely different trajectories are set to style Premier League administration for the primary time.
Kieran McKenna is not going to vary for anybody. He’ll look to be expansive with the ball to get his two key broad males in Leif Davis and Wes Burns into harmful areas. It ought to play straight into Liverpool’s fingers right here although, who will have the ability to create large moments – and when you have got somebody of the ilk of Diogo Jota in your group, these large moments flip into objectives.
Jota may very well be set for an enormous season if staying match for Arne Slot. Someway, he is solely scored 17 Premier League objectives within the final two seasons however having performed simply 2,281 minutes it means his goals-per-game ratio is the sixth-best of any participant to have scored 10 or extra objectives in that interval.
If he can rating at that price of a aim each 134 minutes, he’ll be mixing it with the highest goalscorers within the Premier League.
Ipswich conceded 57 objectives final season regardless of promotion – solely the seventh-best report within the Sky Wager Championship.
Portman Highway may very well be a goal-heavy place this season and Jota can get his season up and operating. The 11/2 with Sky Wager for him to attain twice is a runner.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3
Arsenal vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm – PLAY £2M SUPER 6 HERE!
Wolves ended the marketing campaign with only one win of their final 10 video games and have misplaced Pedro Neto to Chelsea over the summer time. With Matheus Cunha additionally unlikely to be at full health, attempting to make a case for Wolves to even rating on this match is a troublesome argument in opposition to a group that ought to be title favourites to my calculations (13/8 with Sky Wager).
This Arsenal group is able to compete on all fronts now. They’re a correct Premier League powerhouse that appears, together with Man Metropolis, significantly away from the chasing pack. Mikel Arteta has constructed top-of-the-line defensive models in Premier League historical past – it is a group that conceded simply 9 Premier League objectives of their final 18 matches with an unimaginable 0.65 anticipated objectives in opposition to common per 90.
This may very well be the proper fixture to start out with. An Arsenal win to nil at 10/11 with Sky Wager appears to be like the best way to get them in your facet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Arsenal to win to nil (10/11 with Sky Wager – a part of the 14/1 weekend treble!)
Everton vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY £2M SUPER 6 HERE!
I would like Brighton to be good once more this season. They’re such a shrewd operation which have revolutionised recruitment fashions and easy methods to punch above your weight within the Premier League. Nonetheless, there are too many unknowns within the equation concerning trusting them too closely on the opening weekend in what’s a winnable fixture.
Beneath new supervisor Fabian Hurzeler, Brighton seemed sharp in pre-season, successful each sport comfortably and are able to arresting their decline of final season in ahead areas. The duty now’s to show that pleasant kind into league factors. They don’t seem to be fairly a betting proposition but however I am getting the vibes they are going to be very quickly.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Newcastle vs Southampton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY £2M SUPER 6 HERE!
With no Europe to take care of this season, Newcastle might simply problem the highest 4 as soon as once more.
Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton, Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon are real world-class skills that would make a mark for any group within the Premier League. If Eddie Howe can discover the stability that evaded him final season when attempting to construct a strong defence then I might need to be investing in them when the worth is correct.
Nonetheless, till I’ve seen proof that the defence has been sorted – relegated Luton, Burnley and Sheffield United managed to attain six occasions in opposition to the Toon in 2024 – opposition gamers must be of curiosity within the goalscorer market.
Saints will likely be inspired to play with freedom when attacking and Will Smallbone is the participant overpriced at 10/1 with Sky Wager to get on the scoresheet from midfield. He scored in three of his final seven begins within the Sky Wager Championship and was unfortunate to not rating in final weekend’s pleasant with Getafe.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm
How Bournemouth cope with out Dominic Solanke will likely be a key issue of their begin to their season – and the info would not look good in that regard. Because the begin of the 2022/23 season, the Cherries have performed seven Premier League video games with out Solanke and are winless, shedding six and scoring simply two objectives.
Andoni Iraola is a really clever and underrated boss so could have a plan to repair it however I might be cautious of supporting them till they discover a appropriate alternative. Each time I am trying to again Nottingham Forest, the proficient Morgan Gibbs-White is my first port of name and he appears to be like an attention-grabbing proposition to attain or help at 6/5 with Sky Wager.
This guess would have landed in 4 of Forest’s final 5 dwelling matches final season.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
West Ham vs Aston Villa, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY £2M SUPER 6 HERE!
With fatigue and harm tolls more likely to be an enormous issue this season, discovering a approach to predict which golf equipment are at risk of doubtless underperforming as a result of workload points have been on my radar.
And it is Villa that basically appealed to me to be a group to oppose this season on the costs within the ante submit markets the place I might be eager for the likes of Tottenham and Brighton to complete above them.
Regardless of their unimaginable season the place Champions League soccer was achieved, they nonetheless picked up 39 accidents final season – the fourth highest of any group.
Champions League soccer will take a bodily and psychological toll on the Premier League marketing campaign. Villa ended final season very badly too. Over the past 17 Premier League video games, they’ve averaged a per-90 anticipated objectives in opposition to determine of 1.95 which was is the fourth worst within the Premier League. And the final 10 video games within the kind desk exhibits they had been twelfth.
I would not be shocked to see West Ham thrive underneath Julen Lopetegui, whose emphasis on possession soccer and enjoying a better defensive position that made Sevilla an thrilling prospect to observe ought to go down effectively on the London Stadium after the dirge that has been served up at occasions underneath David Moyes.
They will keep away from defeat at 4/9 with Sky Wager.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: West Ham to keep away from defeat (4/9 with Sky Wager – a part of the 14/1 weekend treble!)
Brentford vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY £2M SUPER 6 HERE!
Crystal Palace gained seven of their 13 video games underneath Oliver Glasner final season, taking 24 factors and successful six of their final seven. I used to be excited for what may very well be achieved this season however the switch window is tempering my enthusiasm with Michael Olise gone and Marc Guehi and Joachim Andersen doubtlessly going too.
Brentford notoriously are robust at dwelling in opposition to groups from the underside half, shedding simply two of their 20 fixtures throughout the final two seasons. I am not precisely bouncing about their prospects this season with a doubtlessly stagnate squad at Thomas Frank’s disposal, however this may very well be a good time to play Palace with a lot switch hypothesis echoing within the background. The 11/8 with Sky Wager for the house win seemed the best way to play.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Chelsea vs Manchester Metropolis, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY £2M SUPER 6 HERE!
Manchester Metropolis at 4/5 with Sky Wager for the win is definitely handed up based mostly on the seemingly understrength nature of the Metropolis beginning XI and a surprisingly terrible current report in opposition to top-six groups away from dwelling.
Metropolis are virtually actually going to be with out Rodri, who did not characteristic in any of their pre-season and fellow Euro 2024 finalists Kyle Walker, John Stones and Phil Foden are additionally wanting match follow. Metropolis misplaced all three video games with out Rodri on the street final season at Wolves, Arsenal and Aston Villa and averaged a per sport common of simply 0.66 anticipated objectives throughout these three fixtures.
Additionally, Pep Guardiola’s facet have solely gained two of the final 10 matches away at a top-six finisher throughout the final two seasons with six of these 10 video games falling underneath the two.5 objectives line.
Chelsea aren’t precisely a group to belief although with Enzo Maresca more likely to take some time to seek out his finest XI from the 41 gamers he can choose from.
When it does click on although, Chelsea have the expertise to compete with the highest golf equipment.
It is tough to formulate a betting plan for this one however heading to the Wager Builder and backing Chelsea with a +2 aim handicap together with underneath 3.5 match objectives brings out a 10/11 shot with Sky Wager which has a high-quality likelihood of touchdown.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Leicester vs Tottenham, Monday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities
I simply love the Dominic Solanke signing. He may very well be the ultimate piece of the jigsaw for Ange Postecoglou as he is the proper modern-day centre-forward that could be a nice penalty field finisher and hyperlinks the play expertly.
I feel Postecoglou and his strategies can take him to the subsequent degree – and boy is he going to get possibilities enjoying as the focus on this Tottenham assault.
Solanke scored 19 objectives final season at Bournemouth with solely two of them coming from the penalty spot – I am totally anticipating him to surpass these numbers with the extent of service enhancing broad from areas. It is these finishes from cutbacks from broad areas he does excel with and I would not be in any respect shocked to see him get off the mark in opposition to who I’ve down because the most certainly to prop up the division this season.
The 4/1 with Sky Wager for Solanke to attain first is begging to be backed.