Nonsensical Graphs that Individuals Submit

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Merchandise 1:

Supply: Antoni.

Merchandise 2:

antoni m2trendgraph

Supply: Antoni.

Not that the info are “wrong” (I’m not a knowledge conspiracy theorist). Simply with out context, it’s fairly meaningless. Right here’s what a related graph would possibly present (motivated by the Amount Idea):

qtytheory2

Determine 1: M2 to GDP (blue, left scale), M2 to GDPNow (10/18) (blue +, left scale), PCE deflator (tan, proper scale), all in logs. NBER outlined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded grey. Supply: Federal Reserve, BEA through FRED, Atlanta Fed, NBER, and writer’s calculations.

qtytheory2a

Determine 2: M2 to GDP (blue, left scale), M2 to GDPNow (10/18) (blue +, left scale), PCE deflator (tan, proper scale), all in logs, 1986Q1=0. NBER outlined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded grey. Supply: Federal Reserve, BEA through FRED, Atlanta Fed, NBER, and writer’s calculations.

By the way in which, strive a cointegration check on these sequence, for some illumination.

Some associated posts right here and right here.

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