Elliot David has 5 to observe at Windsor this Monday night and his ideas take a detailed take a look at the place the stalls are positioned and outstanding runners throughout the seven races – watch dwell on Sky Sports activities Racing.
I am going to start with a phrase of warning for punters. Viewers of final week’s night assembly at Windsor can have seen the clear benefit for these racing on the tempo and hugging the stands’-side rail. For this week’s fixture, the stalls stay within the centre and, with fast floor forecast, I would be favouring outstanding racers and positively these drawn low over the dash distances.
SAFARI DREAM
5.40 Windsor
We have got a quartet of outstanding racers drawn low in stalls one to 4 right here and I would fancy the opening dash contest will probably be fought out between them. Tony Carroll’s Recon Mission narrowly misplaced out to the re-opposing Impressed Knowhow right here on Might 13 and, given his extra beneficial draw, I would again that type to be overturned. A key takeaway that day was the early tempo from each horses permitting them to negate their huge attracts and tack throughout to the near-side rail, one thing that must be tough this time given the low-drawn tempo and could be a priority for backers of the Marco Botti-trained four-year-old.
Robert Cowell’s Agostino is but to show he can switch all-weather type to turf and Stage Up seems nicely out of shape together with his common headgear lacking right here. My choice will probably be for Rod Millman’s course-and-distance winner Safari Dream who’s now 12lb beneath the mark of 82 off which he was victorious right here in September 2022.
I feel he paid the worth for an elevated mark after that victory, drawing a clean in 2023, however seems to be returning to type of late. He can benefit from a return to class 5 firm together with his run right here in April behind course lover Antiphon trying standout type.
ADRESTIA
6.10 Windsor
With the usual set by these with expertise not a frightening one, I would see this fillies’ novice stakes as ripe pickings for an above common debutant. We may even see that within the Crisfords’ expensive breeze-up buy Adrestia for notable house owners KHK Racing.
The possession steady has loved a substantial amount of success since bursting onto the British racing scene in 2020 and specifically with purchases from the breeze-ups;
2020 – Bahrain Delight – 300,000gns at Tattersalls Craven – Gained on debut at Windsor
2021 – Eldar Eldarov – £480,000 at Arqana Doncaster – Gained on debut at Nottingham
2022 – Sakheer – €550,000 at Arqana Might – Second on debut at Windsor, gained second begin by six lengths
2023 – Vandeek – 625,000gns at Tattersalls Craven – Gained on debut at Nottingham
2023 – True Cyan – £150,000 at Goffs Breeze-Up – Gained on debut at Newmarket
2024 – Not Actual – €550,000 at Arqana Might – Second on debut at Kempton, gained second begin by 4 lengths
Having loved nice success from a complete of 14 breeze-up purchases to hit the monitor to this point, any KHK-owned breezer is value noting. This daughter of Havana Gray is carefully associated to a debut winner for Kevin Ryan in True Promise and would not must be setting the world alight to go shut right here.
MIDAIR
6.40 Windsor
Along with his two-year-old type properly franked and a shade of arduous luck surrounding his two runs this 12 months, I would anticipate Juddmonte’s Midair to be robust to beat on this novice stakes contest.
His key rivals look to be the penalised Daarkom and Savvy Change, who’re tasked with conceding 7lb to the 84-rated son of Frankel. As talked about, his type this season seems extraordinarily stable, splitting the helpful Into Battle and Involvement at Epsom previous to a luckless run at Ascot on Might 11.
I am hoping James Doyle retains it easy and takes his mount to the entrance to dictate proceedings, a place from which he must be robust to move. Ought to he break his maiden right here, I would not be shocked to see him at Royal Ascot with a beneficial trying handicap mark. A race just like the Britannia Handicap over the straight mile may very well be proper up his avenue given a strongly run affair and his profile bears some resemblance to that of the yard’s 2022 winner Thesis.
HAZEM
7.10 Windsor
Saeed bin Suroor’s Shamardal gelding was inexperienced and clearly in want of the expertise on debut at Chelmsford final month. I would not be shocked to see a significantly higher displaying right here with high rider Oisin Murphy taking up within the saddle.
The gelding was camped in rear underneath Royston Ffrench and given an academic debut in a race largely dominated by the entrance runners. It’s kind of of a punt, however with the steady hitting some winners within the final fortnight and the three-time champion jockey taking up, it appears seemingly we’ll see a greater displaying in what’s an open race.
ANTIPHON
7.40 Windsor
Following a improbable run from 8lb out of the handicap within the Epsom Sprint, Mike Murphy and Michael Keady’s Antiphon seems doubtlessly nicely handled again off a mark of 78, with helpful 7lb claimer Jack Doughty as soon as once more enlisted.
Every little thing appears to level to an enormous run, not least his clear liking for the monitor with type of 9: 3-4-1, ending out of the highest three simply as soon as. With a suitably low attract stall 5 he ought to have the ability to as soon as once more make a daring bid from the entrance.
It have to be mentioned, there seems to be loads of challengers for that lead with the likes of Isle Of Lismore (1), Rocking Ends (3) and Good Earth (4) all prone to present early pace. Ought to they go too quick, this might arrange properly for these sat in behind with Woolhampton the chief candidate to learn from a tempo collapse.
Watch the motion from Windsor dwell on Sky Sports activities Racing with the primary race at 5.40pm…
