For higher or worse, Elon Musk has taken a liking to previous Milton Friedman movies. On the nice facet, Musk has embraced Friedman’s mistrust of presidency and cash printing. Friedman, nevertheless, was no Rothbard concerning the constant software of moral and financial ideas to the actions of the state. Regardless of Friedman’s compromises and error-ridden macroeconomic theorizing, there’s no denying that he was an awesome popularizer and eloquent defender of laissez-faire.
On the dangerous facet, Musk has now embraced monetarist-inspired inanities like, “Money is simply an abstract representation of real things.”
The submit was hooked up to a video of Musk reflecting on the character of cash:
Folks get confused. They generally suppose an economic system is cash. However cash is the database for the trade of products and companies, and/or time-shifting the trade of products and companies. Cash is a database. Cash isn’t an influence in and of itself. You may run a thought experiment the place you’re shipwrecked on an island and also you’ve acquired a trillion {dollars} in a Swiss checking account. It’s nugatory. You’d reasonably have a can of soup. You possibly can have all of the bitcoin on the earth, and also you’re nonetheless going to starve. The precise economic system is items and companies.
Essentially the most sense I can get out of Musk’s declare that “money is a database” is that he signifies that cash merely refers to actual items and companies, in the identical approach an entry in a library’s database may observe the placement of and different figuring out details about a selected bodily ebook. Musk’s level is that the database entry isn’t the ebook. The database entry helps you get hold of the ebook. Bringing the analogy again to cash, cash solely helps us get objects out there.
Now, this analogy does work if you find yourself making the straightforward (however necessary!) argument that extra money doesn’t improve the inventory of client items or elements of manufacturing. For instance, creating extra library database entries doesn’t magically create extra books. However that’s so far as the analogy goes. It breaks down as quickly as you take into account why folks demand cash, the formation of cash costs, and the complete results of modifications within the cash relation.
Why Folks Demand Cash
Cash is an “element of change” as a result of folks maintain it and settle for it as fee in view of an unsure future. As Mises defined,
Cash is neither an summary numéraire nor a normal of worth or costs. It’s essentially an financial good and as such it’s valued and appraised by itself deserves, i.e., the companies which a person expects from holding money. Available on the market there’s all the time change and motion. Solely as a result of there are fluctuations is there cash. Cash is a component of change not as a result of it “circulates,” however as a result of it’s stored in money holdings. Solely as a result of folks anticipate modifications concerning the variety and extent of which they haven’t any sure data in anyway, do they hold cash.
The one cause to carry cash is since you don’t know the longer term completely. In the event you knew the longer term completely, you’d maintain interest-earning property that mature as quickly as you realize you may be able to buy one thing.
Thus, cash isn’t “an abstract representation of real things” or a database. It’s an financial good that we worth for the distinctive companies that cash presents. Holding cash removes the uncertainty related to future exchanges—we don’t know what or after we will purchase sooner or later, nor the precise costs of issues we’ll buy sooner or later, so we maintain money.
This perception issues as a result of for those who don’t perceive why folks maintain cash, you begin to slip into the pondering that money balances are “idle,” or held for no good cause, and should be plundered by the state or stimulated into circulation for the sake of kickstarting the rate of cash or mixture demand.
The Formation of Cash Costs
Since cash is an financial good, we rank it towards different items and companies on our worth scales. For instance, somebody (we’ll name him Ksum Nole) who purchases a 2025 Tesla Mannequin S might have a desire rating like this:
Ksum Nole
$79,990.01
(2025 Tesla Mannequin S)
$79,990.00
That’s, Ksum Nole would pay as a lot as $79,990.00, however not a cent extra. Fortuitously, Elon Musk is keen to simply accept $79,990.00 however not a cent much less. They’ll commerce!
Elon Musk
($79,990.00)
2025 Tesla Mannequin S
($79,989.99)
The worth that emerged on this mutually useful trade was the results of a reverse valuation between the merchants concerning the cash and the automobile. The cash was not a normal of measurement. If it have been, then no trade might happen. There can be settlement concerning the “equality of value” concerning the automobile and the $79,990, like two folks agreeing {that a} piece of lumber is eight toes lengthy.
Nor have been the realized value, the customer, and the second of the trade pre-recorded in some incorporeal “database of destiny” that made this trade inevitable. The trade occurred as a result of two potential merchants discovered one another and realized they might trade property for mutual profit.
Additionally, the cash was not an “abstract representation” of the 2025 Tesla Mannequin S whereas it was in Ksum Nole’s money stability earlier than the trade. The cash was offering financial companies to Ksum earlier than the trade, similar to the stock was offering stock companies to Elon earlier than the trade. We will solely affiliate the cash with the bought automobile after the trade befell, as a result of values are solely made evident in motion. Even so, it have to be remembered that there was no equality of worth.
Thus, cash is an effective. The one approach for trade ratios to emerge is for 2 people to agree that every would favor to have the opposite’s property as an alternative of what every at present owns. The truth that just about all transactions characteristic cash because the property provided by one celebration doesn’t change its nature as an financial good.
The Full Results of Adjustments within the Cash Relation
Musk appears to suppose that the federal government shouldn’t manipulate cash. On that we agree, but it surely’s not as a result of we’d get a defective cash database, no matter that would imply.
When the federal government prints cash, extra items of this distinctive good enter the money balances of sure people, together with these within the authorities. The marginal utility of every cash unit is now decrease for these folks, which means they will now outbid different patrons for sure items and companies. For instance, take into account one other particular person, named Gov, whose desire rankings earlier than and after an inflow of money appear like this:
Gov (earlier than receiving $10,000)
$77,990.01
(2025 Tesla Mannequin S)
$77,990.00
Gov (after receiving $10,000)
$87,990.01
(2025 Tesla Mannequin S)
$87,990.00
Earlier than the inflow, Gov would solely pay as a lot as $77,990. After the inflow, Gov can outbid Ksum for a similar automobile. Supposing that Elon is a superb businessman, he sells the automobile for Gov’s most willingness to pay: $87,990. (I’ve simplified this. Gov would doubtless outbid different patrons in quite a lot of markets, not simply the Tesla market. In that case, Gov’s new most willingness to pay wouldn’t be as a lot as $10,000 extra.)
The story doesn’t finish there, as a result of now Elon has extra items of cash than he would have had, absent the cash printing. Elon can now outbid different patrons for different items, after which these sellers can do the identical. That is how value inflation works: the primary receivers improve their calls for for items and companies, outbidding those that would have bought the products; then, the following receivers do the identical. Costs rise as people obtain the cash, reorder their preferences in mild of this newfound buying energy, after which outbid different demanders. This easy inflation course of continues till no person’s elevated money stability is ample to outbid others, due partially to the truth that many costs have been already bid up by others.
The total results of cash printing, due to this fact, embrace what Mises known as a “price revolution,” not a proportionate and quick change within the value stage. There isn’t any such factor as “the price level” in any case. We every face a special array of costs, and these costs are decided by the overall demand for the nice (which can be influenced by cash printing) and the overall inventory of the nice.
The total results of cash printing embrace the redistribution of products and companies towards these closest to the cash spigot. It contains entrepreneurs’ modified manufacturing plans because of new cash pouring into the economic system via credit score markets. You can’t see and perceive these results for those who maintain that cash is a “database” or “an abstract representation of real things.”
There isn’t any unbiased mechanism by which cash exerts some basic energy on all costs. Cash’s “driving force” is effected by the shopping for and promoting selections of market individuals, who rank items of cash as a very good towards non-monetary items and companies. As Mises defined:
Whereas cash could be considered solely in a altering economic system, it’s in itself a component of additional modifications. Each change within the financial information units it in movement and makes it the driving drive of latest modifications. Each shift within the mutual relation of the trade ratios between the assorted nonmonetary items not solely brings about modifications in manufacturing and in what’s popularly known as distribution, but additionally provokes modifications within the cash relation and thus additional modifications. Nothing can occur within the orbit of vendible items with out affecting the orbit of cash, and all that occurs within the orbit of cash impacts the orbit of commodities.
The notion of a impartial cash is not any much less contradictory than that of a cash of secure buying energy. Cash and not using a driving drive of its personal wouldn’t, as folks assume, be an ideal cash; it will not be cash in any respect.
What about Musk’s instance of the shipwrecked particular person?
Musk’s instance involving the shipwrecked particular person doesn’t assist him make the case that cash is a database. It’s a purple herring. The explanation Robinson Crusoe doesn’t want cash is as a result of he has nobody to commerce with. Cash (qua cash) offers no companies to economically remoted people as a result of there are not any different people who demand cash for its companies.
Cash is exclusive as a result of it’s used as a medium of trade. Not like different items, cash isn’t demanded in order that it may be destroyed in consumption or used up in manufacturing. It’s demanded as a result of others demand it. This, nevertheless, doesn’t imply that it’s some ephemeral and unbiased factor outdoors the actual economic system.
