COP29 begins in Baku, Biden visits Peru and Reeves makes first Mansion Home speech

Howdy and welcome to the working week.

We kick off the subsequent seven days with the beginning of the world’s most essential local weather negotiation occasion, the UN COP29 summit in Azerbaijan’s capital metropolis Baku. Selecting an economic system extremely depending on oil gross sales to host the two-week gathering of politicians, enterprise executives and activists was a contentious resolution when it was introduced, made extra so final week when video footage emerged exhibiting the chief govt of Azerbaijan’s COP29 staff, Elnur Soltanov, discussing “investment opportunities” within the state oil and fuel firm.

To make issues worse, the summit that organisers had dubbed “the finance COP” is anticipated to be shunned by outstanding financiers, together with the bosses of Financial institution of America, BlackRock, Normal Chartered and Deutsche Financial institution, in keeping with FT sources. FT Dwell will probably be a part of the motion, nonetheless, internet hosting debates on the summit’s key bulletins and agreements. Register free of charge at ftcop.stay.ft.com.

Elsewhere, and whereas the US additional digests the implications of a second Donald Trump presidency, the present man within the job, Joe Biden, is boarding a airplane to South America. He begins a state go to to Peru and Brazil on Thursday the place he’ll meet the 2 nations’ leaders and participate within the Asia-Pacific Financial Cooperation summit, this yr being held in Lima.

Within the UK, chancellor Rachel Reeves and Financial institution of England governor Andrew Bailey will probably be explaining themselves to senior bankers and different bosses from the nation’s monetary companies sector on the annual Mansion Home dinner, so known as as a result of it’s held on the official residence of the Metropolis of London’s Lord Mayor. This yr’s after dinner speeches will probably be delivered at a key second, with Reeves’ late October Funds nonetheless recent within the reminiscence and considerations raised concerning the subsequent challenges now confronted by the financial institution in taming inflation.

The run of financial information stories picks up this week. For the US, there will probably be varied key indicators of the state of the economic system Trump will inherit, with recent updates on inflation — the headline determine is anticipated to rise barely whereas core inflation traits decrease — retail gross sales and industrial manufacturing numbers. The size of China’s problem in restoring progress is the backdrop to its publication of retail gross sales, industrial manufacturing and property information. In the meantime, the UK number-crunchers make obtainable the most recent labour market figures and, together with Japan and the EU, have a primary stab at third-quarter GDP.

There may also be a smattering of earnings calls, together with cellular and broadband supplier Vodafone, recent from getting the Competitors and Markets Authority nod for its £16.5bn merger with Three UK, and trend model Burberry, itself a takeover goal in the ailing marketplace for luxurious items.

Another factor . . . 

Thanks to my e-newsletter colleague Harvey for filling in final week, giving me just a few days at house aiding/haranguing my youngest two kids, on half-term break, to remain on observe revising for pre-Christmas GCSE mock exams and finishing the dreaded assertion for college functions. Subsequent we enter the season of preparing for Christmas itself, and the FT’s HTSI has bought in early for these with a watch on dates by choosing the very best luxurious introduction calendars.

Key financial and firm stories

Here’s a extra full listing of what to anticipate by way of firm stories and financial information this week.

Monday

• UK: CIPD Labour Market Outlook

• Outcomes: Continental 9M, Direct Line Q3 buying and selling replace, IAC Q3,

Tuesday

• Opec November Oil Market Report

• Germany: October shopper worth index (CPI) and harmonised index of shopper costs (HICP) inflation fee information

• India: October CPI inflation fee information

• UK: November labour market statistics, together with the unemployment fee

• US: Nationwide Federation of Impartial Enterprise (NFIB) October Enterprise Optimism Index

• Outcomes: AstraZeneca Q3, Bayer Q3, House Depot Q3, Infineon Applied sciences This fall, Oxford Devices HY, SoftBank Q2, Spotify Q3, Vodafone HY

Wednesday

• France: ILO Q3 unemployment fee

• Russia: Q3 GDP first launch

• US: October CPI inflation fee information

• Outcomes: ABN Amro Financial institution Q3, Allianz Q3, Alstom HY, Bertelsmann Q3, Cisco Programs Q1, Experian HY, Fuller, Smith & Turner HY, RTL Q3, RWE Q3, Smiths Group Q1 buying and selling replace forward of AGM, SSE HY, Tencent Q3

Thursday

• Financial institution of England governor Andrew Bailey speaks alongside UK chancellor Rachel Reeves on the annual monetary {and professional} companies dinner on the Metropolis of London’s Mansion Home

• Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell takes half within the World Views occasion in Dallas

• Reserve Financial institution of Australia governor Michele Bullock speaks on a panel debate concerning the state of the economic system on the ASIC Annual Discussion board in Sydney

• IEA Oil Market Report

• EU: Q3 GDP estimate

• UK: RICS Residential Market Survey

• US: October producer worth index (PPI) inflation fee information

• Outcomes: 3i Group HY, Utilized Supplies This fall, Asahi Q3, Aviva Q3 buying and selling replace, B&M European Worth Retail HY, Burberry HY, Deutsche Telekom Q3, Eon Q3, First Group HY, Foxconn Q3, Nice Portland Estates HY, Keller Group buying and selling assertion, Kier Group buying and selling replace, Metro Financial institution Q3, Premier Meals HY, Qinetiq HY, Siemens FY, Swiss Re 9M, United Utilities HY, Walt Disney Firm This fall, WHSmith FY

Friday

• China: October industrial manufacturing and retail gross sales figures

• EU: Autumn Financial Forecast for GDP, inflation, employment and public funds within the Eurozone space

• France: October CPI and HICP inflation fee information

• India: Guru Nanak’s Birthday. Monetary markets closed

• Japan: flash Q3 GDP estimate

• UK: flash Q3 GDP and productiveness estimates.

• US: October retail gross sales and industrial manufacturing figures.

• Outcomes: Alibaba Q3, Land Securities HY, Lenovo Q2

World occasions

Lastly, here’s a rundown of different occasions and milestones this week.

Monday

• Armistice Day (commemorated within the US because the federal vacation Veterans Day), marking the date that first world struggle led to 1918, through which nations now pause to honour all those that have given their lives in instances of battle

• Azerbaijan: COP29, bringing collectively governments from 197 nations, plus the EU, to test progress on assembly local weather change targets, begins in Baku Stadium

• China: Singles Day, an annual vacation created for single individuals, utilized by retailers as a chance to push retailer gross sales

• UK: Kemi Badenoch, the Conservative celebration’s new chief, is because of give proof regarding her time as enterprise and commerce secretary to the Put up Workplace Horizon IT Inquiry, the investigation into the scandal of sub-postmasters being wrongly accused of theft when the software program system they have been utilizing was at fault

Tuesday

• China: fifteenth Airshow China opens in Zhuhai. The biennial occasion runs till Sunday

• UK: The Booker Prize, essentially the most prestigious award for English language fiction writers, is introduced at a ceremony in London

Wednesday

• Somaliland: the breakaway area of Somalia holds a presidential election, whose final result might have an effect on the way forward for a port cope with Ethiopia that has raised tensions with Mogadishu

Thursday

• Sri Lanka: parliamentary elections

• UK: 76th birthday of King Charles. Army gun salutes will happen throughout the nation to mark the occasion

• US: President Joe Biden begins a state go to to Peru and Brazil

Friday

Saturday

Sunday